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Tropical Storm BARBARA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
1500 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   9( 9)  10(19)   5(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)
TAPACHULA      50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 133N  939W 34 60   9(69)   2(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 12 133N  939W 50  7   5(12)   1(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 12 133N  939W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 139N  935W 34 16  29(45)   7(52)   2(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 24 139N  935W 50  1   9(10)   2(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 139N  935W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 146N  933W 34  1  21(22)  13(35)   5(40)   2(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 36 146N  933W 50  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 146N  933W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 154N  932W 34  X   7( 7)  11(18)   6(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 48 154N  932W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 154N  932W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 166N  933W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 72 166N  933W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 166N  933W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      50      50      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:55 UTC