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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ONE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012007               
1500 UTC SUN MAY 27 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 131N 1117W 34 18  12(30)   6(36)   3(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 12 131N 1117W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 131N 1117W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 131N 1124W 34  7  20(27)   9(36)   4(40)   3(43)   1(44)   1(45)
 24 131N 1124W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 131N 1124W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 131N 1132W 34  1  13(14)  15(29)   8(37)   4(41)   2(43)   1(44)
 36 131N 1132W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 36 131N 1132W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 130N 1142W 34  X   5( 5)  12(17)  12(29)  10(39)   3(42)   1(43)
 48 130N 1142W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 48 130N 1142W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 130N 1160W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   9(12)  14(26)   8(34)   1(35)
 72 130N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 72 130N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 130N 1185W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   8(18)   3(21)
 96 130N 1185W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 96 130N 1185W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 125N 1205W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)
120 125N 1205W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 125N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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