| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression ALVIN (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012007
200 PM PDT THU MAY 31 2007

I DON'T KNOW ABOUT SIMON AND THEODORE...BUT ALVIN IS NO LONGER A
TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THE DEPRESSION'S CENTER REMAINS DEVOID OF DEEP
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SINCE THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND...THEREFORE...
THIS IS LAST ADVISORY ON ALVIN. A GRADUAL DECREASE OF THE WINDS HAS
LIKELY OCCURRED SINCE THERE HASN'T BEEN ANY DEEP CONVECTION...SO
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 20 KT. THE REMNANT LOW MAY
PRODUCE OCCASIONAL FLAREUPS OF THUNDERSTORMS AS IT IS STEERED
SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      31/2100Z 12.7N 116.2W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     01/0600Z 12.5N 116.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     01/1800Z 12.3N 117.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     02/0600Z 12.1N 117.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     02/1800Z 11.9N 118.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     03/1800Z 11.3N 119.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     04/1800Z 10.5N 120.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
 
NNNN