Tropical Storm NOEL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NOEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
1500 UTC THU NOV 01 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) X(31)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 23(45) X(45)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 26(49) 1(50)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) X(19)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 22(48) X(48)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 1(19)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 10(50) X(50)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 5(20) X(20)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 14(49) X(49)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 7(51) X(51)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 5(44) X(44)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 2(30) X(30)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 5(27) X(27)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) X(23)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) 1(18)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) 1(11)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 58 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANDROS 50 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
GREAT EXUMA 34 26 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAN SALVADOR 34 18 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
MAYAGUANA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 258N 769W 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 258N 769W 50 63 4(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
12 258N 769W 64 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 284N 749W 34 5 66(71) 8(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 284N 749W 50 X 28(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
24 284N 749W 64 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 320N 720W 34 X 2( 2) 48(50) 10(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
36 320N 720W 50 X X( X) 16(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
36 320N 720W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 360N 690W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 47(49) 12(61) 1(62) X(62)
48 360N 690W 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) X(27) X(27)
48 360N 690W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
72 460N 610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 11(49) X(49)
72 460N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 5(20) X(20)
72 460N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 565N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 10(41)
96 565N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17)
96 565N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
120 670N 250W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
120 670N 250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
120 670N 250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 55 55 65 70 65 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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