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Hurricane NOEL


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HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
0300 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  76.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......125NE 100SE  25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 300SE  30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  76.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  76.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.5N  74.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  25SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.0N  72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE   0SW 320NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.5N  69.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 42.5N  66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 53.0N  58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...300NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 480SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 62.5N  50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  76.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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