ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 0300 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 145N 285W 34 26 10(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 12 145N 285W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 12 145N 285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 151N 300W 34 3 20(23) 4(27) 1(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29) 24 151N 300W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 151N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 158N 318W 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) 36 158N 318W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 158N 318W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 168N 332W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) 48 168N 332W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 168N 332W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 350W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 185N 350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 185N 350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 370W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 96 205N 370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 205N 370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 30 30 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:51 UTC