Tropical Storm MELISSA

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TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142007
0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  31.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  31.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  30.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.2N  33.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N  35.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.3N  37.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.5N  39.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.0N  42.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 26.0N  44.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  31.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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