Tropical Depression THIRTEEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LA PESCO MX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 8(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TUXPAN MX 34 X 9( 9) 12(21) 9(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X 10(10) 9(19) 6(25) 5(30) X(30) X(30)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MERIDA MX 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 212N 948W 34 26 20(46) 10(56) 2(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
12 212N 948W 50 1 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
12 212N 948W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 209N 951W 34 17 25(42) 12(54) 3(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59)
24 209N 951W 50 1 6( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
24 209N 951W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 207N 956W 34 8 28(36) 13(49) 4(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56)
36 207N 956W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17)
36 207N 956W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 205N 963W 34 2 21(23) 16(39) 7(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51)
48 205N 963W 50 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
48 205N 963W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 202N 978W 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) 7(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25)
72 202N 978W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 202N 978W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 45 50 55 20 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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