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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007               
1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  1   6( 7)   9(16)   7(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  1   8( 9)   8(17)   5(22)   4(26)   X(26)   X(26)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 207N  951W 34 27  14(41)   7(48)   3(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 12 207N  951W 50  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 12 207N  951W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 205N  954W 34 23  18(41)   7(48)   4(52)   2(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 205N  954W 50  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 24 205N  954W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 203N  959W 34 11  18(29)  11(40)   6(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 36 203N  959W 50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 203N  959W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 201N  966W 34  2  13(15)  11(26)   7(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 48 201N  966W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 201N  966W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 200N  977W 34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   6(16)   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 72 200N  977W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 72 200N  977W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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