ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 119N 439W 34 68 13(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 12 119N 439W 50 20 12(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 12 119N 439W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 130N 461W 34 3 55(58) 12(70) 1(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) 24 130N 461W 50 X 22(22) 11(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 24 130N 461W 64 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 143N 480W 34 1 10(11) 41(52) 8(60) 4(64) X(64) X(64) 36 143N 480W 50 X 2( 2) 20(22) 8(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33) 36 143N 480W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 156N 494W 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 20(43) 10(53) 2(55) X(55) 48 156N 494W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 6(24) X(24) 1(25) 48 156N 494W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 72 180N 515W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 20(32) 7(39) 3(42) 72 180N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) 1(17) 72 180N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 96 200N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 11(26) 4(30) 96 200N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 96 200N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 120 225N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19) 120 225N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 225N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 60 65 65 60 55 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:50 UTC