ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 500 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 THE SHEAR HAS BEATEN KAREN. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KAREN NO LONGER HAS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER AND BASICALLY DOES NOT QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH STRONG SQUALLS IN A FEW CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE... OR THE REMNANTS OF KAREN...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KNOTS. AT THIS POINT...I AM NOT GOING TO SPECULATE IF KAREN IS GOING TO REGENERATE OR NOT. MODELS HAVE THE LUXURY OF GOING BACK AND FORTH IN STRENGTHENING OR WEAKENING KAREN IN EACH RUN...BUT I DON'T. THE BEST WE CAN DO IS TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM CLOSELY...AND IF IT COMES BACK...WHICH IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...REINITIATE ADVISORIES. FOR NOW...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON KAREN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 17.3N 54.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 55.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:50 UTC