Hurricane HUMBERTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HUMBERTO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
0515 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
AT 0515Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 1 X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 7(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 82 4(86) X(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 30 4(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GALVESTON TX 34 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
GALVESTON TX 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GALVESTON TX 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FREEPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 301N 939W 34 79 5(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 301N 939W 50 26 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
12 301N 939W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 316N 927W 34 3 17(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
24 316N 927W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 316N 927W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 325N 912W 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 325N 912W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 325N 912W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 325N 900W 34 1 X( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 325N 900W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 325N 900W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 30 25 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
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