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Tropical Storm HUMBERTO (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092007               
2100 UTC WED SEP 12 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 15  29(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  2   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 61   7(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
GALVESTON TX   50 17   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  5   4( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 19   1(20)   X(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
FREEPORT TX    50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 294N  947W 34 58   8(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 12 294N  947W 50 16   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 12 294N  947W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 310N  939W 34  1  13(14)   3(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 310N  939W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 310N  939W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 323N  922W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 323N  922W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 323N  922W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 330N  900W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 330N  900W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 48 330N  900W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     30      25      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:48 UTC