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Tropical Depression NINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092007               
1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  4   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  4  23(27)   6(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 23  24(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
GALVESTON TX   50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  8  22(30)   4(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 29  16(45)   2(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
FREEPORT TX    50  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 44   5(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 12   4(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 286N  953W 34 33  15(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 12 286N  953W 50  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 286N  953W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 298N  950W 34  9  26(35)   5(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 24 298N  950W 50  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 298N  950W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 314N  940W 34  1   9(10)   9(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 314N  940W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 314N  940W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 327N  915W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 327N  915W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 327N  915W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      30      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:48 UTC