ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0300 UTC MON SEP 17 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) BARBUDA 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14) BARBUDA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ANTIGUA 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) 1(11) GUADELOUPE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 176N 605W 34 6 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) 12 176N 605W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 12 176N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 180N 617W 34 2 8(10) 4(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) 1(18) 24 180N 617W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 24 180N 617W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 187N 628W 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) 36 187N 628W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 187N 628W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 193N 636W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 2(15) 1(16) 48 193N 636W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 193N 636W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 205N 650W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 72 205N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 72 205N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 215N 660W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 96 215N 660W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 96 215N 660W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 120 225N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 120 225N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:48 UTC