Tropical Depression INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
2100 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 2( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 2(13)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
BARBUDA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13)
ANTIGUA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 178N 598W 34 15 7(22) 1(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26) 1(27)
12 178N 598W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
12 178N 598W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 185N 610W 34 3 13(16) 6(22) 2(24) 2(26) 1(27) 1(28)
24 185N 610W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 185N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 193N 619W 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24) 3(27)
36 193N 619W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
36 193N 619W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 202N 627W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 4(19) 3(22) 2(24)
48 202N 627W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
48 202N 627W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 212N 637W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 4(18) 3(21)
72 212N 637W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
72 212N 637W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 650W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17)
96 225N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
96 225N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 240N 660W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13)
120 240N 660W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
120 240N 660W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 35 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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