Tropical Depression INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1500 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 1(12)
ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 177N 591W 34 15 8(23) 1(24) X(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
12 177N 591W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
12 177N 591W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 184N 603W 34 3 13(16) 6(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) 1(26)
24 184N 603W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
24 184N 603W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 192N 613W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 3(23) 1(24) 1(25)
36 192N 613W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
36 192N 613W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 200N 622W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 5(20) 1(21) 2(23)
48 200N 622W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
48 200N 622W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 215N 635W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 4(17) 3(20)
72 215N 635W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 215N 635W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 230N 645W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15)
96 230N 645W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 230N 645W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 245N 645W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13)
120 245N 645W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 245N 645W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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