Tropical Depression INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 167N 562W 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
12 167N 562W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 167N 562W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 178N 580W 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15)
24 178N 580W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 178N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
36 190N 595W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) 1(16)
36 190N 595W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 190N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 200N 605W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 1(15) 1(16)
48 200N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
48 200N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 220N 620W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 2(14)
72 220N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 220N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 235N 630W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12)
96 235N 630W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 235N 630W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 250N 640W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10)
120 250N 640W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 250N 640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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