Tropical Storm INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 164N 526W 34 39 5(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
12 164N 526W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 164N 526W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 174N 539W 34 7 16(23) 4(27) 2(29) 1(30) 1(31) X(31)
24 174N 539W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 174N 539W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 184N 552W 34 1 6( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24) 1(25)
36 184N 552W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
36 184N 552W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 193N 564W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 4(19) 2(21) 1(22)
48 193N 564W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 193N 564W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 208N 582W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 4(17) 2(19)
72 208N 582W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 208N 582W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15)
96 225N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 225N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 245N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
120 245N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 245N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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