Tropical Depression EIGHT
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
2100 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 145N 492W 34 26 12(38) 2(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
12 145N 492W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 145N 492W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 150N 502W 34 6 20(26) 7(33) 2(35) 2(37) X(37) 1(38)
24 150N 502W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
24 150N 502W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 155N 514W 34 1 7( 8) 13(21) 6(27) 4(31) X(31) 1(32)
36 155N 514W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
36 155N 514W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
48 159N 525W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 10(20) 7(27) 1(28) 1(29)
48 159N 525W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 159N 525W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 170N 554W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 5(22) 1(23)
72 170N 554W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
72 170N 554W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 580W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 2(16)
96 180N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 180N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 191N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
120 191N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 191N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 40 40 35 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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