Tropical Depression EIGHT
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 142N 490W 34 15 11(26) 2(28) 3(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
12 142N 490W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
12 142N 490W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 145N 499W 34 4 18(22) 8(30) 3(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
24 145N 499W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
24 145N 499W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 148N 508W 34 1 11(12) 11(23) 6(29) 3(32) 1(33) X(33)
36 148N 508W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 148N 508W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 152N 520W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 11(21) 6(27) 2(29) X(29)
48 152N 520W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
48 152N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 160N 544W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 5(23) 2(25)
72 160N 544W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 160N 544W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
96 170N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 2(17)
96 170N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
96 170N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 182N 596W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
120 182N 596W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 182N 596W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 40 40 40 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN
NNNN
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