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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
1200 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007
AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 5 25(30) 3(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
NORFOLK VA 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 39 31(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 17 20(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 74 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 19 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
WILMINGTON NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 353N 763W 34 67 18(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 353N 763W 50 29 9(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
12 353N 763W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 366N 748W 34 1 53(54) 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 366N 748W 50 X 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 366N 748W 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 380N 725W 34 X 4( 4) 35(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
36 380N 725W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 380N 725W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 392N 696W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
48 392N 696W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 392N 696W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 55 50 40 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:47 UTC