Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007               
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  10(18)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   8(17)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   4(25)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   1(15)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   1(14)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   2(14)   1(15)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   3(17)   1(18)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)  11(13)   1(14)   1(15)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   8(19)   1(20)   X(20)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   3( 3)  10(13)  12(25)   7(32)   1(33)   X(33)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   5( 5)   8(13)   7(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  1  10(11)  19(30)  10(40)   3(43)   X(43)   X(43)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  1   7( 8)   8(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  9  32(41)  22(63)   5(68)   2(70)   X(70)   X(70)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   4( 4)  16(20)   6(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 12  39(51)  15(66)   3(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   7( 7)   9(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  7  23(30)  10(40)   3(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  3   9(12)   8(20)   2(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 324N  753W 34 88   3(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 324N  753W 50  9   9(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 12 324N  753W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 338N  760W 34 44  33(77)   6(83)   1(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 24 338N  760W 50  1  18(19)   8(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 338N  760W 64  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 36 352N  756W 34 10  34(44)  20(64)   4(68)   2(70)   1(71)   X(71)
 36 352N  756W 50  X   5( 5)  16(21)   5(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 36 352N  756W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 364N  740W 34  3  13(16)  21(37)  17(54)   7(61)   1(62)   X(62)
 48 364N  740W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 48 364N  740W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 390N  680W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  29(32)   8(40)   X(40)
 72 390N  680W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)
 72 390N  680W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 440N  580W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   6(26)
 96 440N  580W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)
 96 440N  580W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 460N  460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
120 460N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 460N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      55      55      55      50      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN