Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
...CORRECTED AWIPS/WHO HEADERS...
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 2(15)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 1(17)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 3(17) X(17)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 10(22) 3(25) X(25)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23) 1(24) 1(25)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 19(26) 8(34) 2(36) X(36)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 4(26) 1(27) X(27)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 5( 6) 17(23) 19(42) 6(48) 1(49) X(49)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 8( 9) 24(33) 16(49) 4(53) 1(54) X(54)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 5( 6) 22(28) 14(42) 5(47) X(47) X(47)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 11(27) 3(30) X(30) 1(31)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 311N 737W 34 66 6(72) 1(73) X(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
12 311N 737W 50 6 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 311N 737W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 323N 755W 34 13 36(49) 9(58) 5(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)
24 323N 755W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
24 323N 755W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 335N 768W 34 2 18(20) 26(46) 9(55) 3(58) X(58) X(58)
36 335N 768W 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
36 335N 768W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
48 350N 766W 34 1 6( 7) 21(28) 19(47) 4(51) X(51) 1(52)
48 350N 766W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17)
48 350N 766W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 375N 735W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 14(27) 6(33) 1(34)
72 375N 735W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
72 375N 735W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 405N 675W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23)
96 405N 675W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
96 405N 675W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 430N 580W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
120 430N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 430N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 40 45 50 40 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: