Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane FELIX


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FELIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BELIZE         34  X   6( 6)   7(13)   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
BELIZE         50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  1   6( 7)  10(17)   2(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUANAJA        34  3  30(33)   6(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
GUANAJA        50  X  14(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GUANAJA        64  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 79   5(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 45   8(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 18   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 146N  835W 34 91   5(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 146N  835W 50 72  12(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 12 146N  835W 64 43  16(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 24 151N  859W 34  5  61(66)   5(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 24 151N  859W 50  1  32(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 24 151N  859W 64  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 36 157N  881W 34  1  10(11)  13(24)   2(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 36 157N  881W 50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 157N  881W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 164N  902W 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 164N  902W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 164N  902W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 180N  940W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 72 180N  940W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 180N  940W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 195N  975W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 195N  975W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 195N  975W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    125     65      40      30      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:45 UTC