ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
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HURRICANE FELIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 8(21)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 11(31)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) 6(36)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 8(39)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 6(23)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 16(43) 4(47)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 11(23) 2(25)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 5(31) 2(33)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 2(18) X(18)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
COLON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
PT GALLINAS 34 4 37(41) 1(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
PT GALLINAS 50 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PT GALLINAS 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CURACAO 34 51 2(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
CURACAO 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 4(22)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 1(17)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 4(33) 1(34)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGSTON 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 11(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE BEATA 34 2 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 132N 696W 34 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 132N 696W 50 46 21(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
12 132N 696W 64 22 9(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
24 140N 732W 34 3 73(76) 10(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
24 140N 732W 50 X 41(41) 15(56) X(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
24 140N 732W 64 X 16(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 147N 766W 34 X 6( 6) 54(60) 15(75) 1(76) X(76) 1(77)
36 147N 766W 50 X X( X) 36(36) 13(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51)
36 147N 766W 64 X X( X) 15(15) 8(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
48 154N 797W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 40(53) 14(67) 2(69) X(69)
48 154N 797W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 13(43) 1(44) X(44)
48 154N 797W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) 1(23) X(23)
72 165N 845W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 13(52) 2(54)
72 165N 845W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 8(29) 2(31)
72 165N 845W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17)
96 180N 885W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) 9(39)
96 180N 885W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18)
96 180N 885W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
120 205N 925W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 12(25)
120 205N 925W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
120 205N 925W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 85 90 100 110 110 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:45 UTC