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Tropical Depression SIX
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13)
PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CURACAO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 6(20)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) 1(20)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 6(21) 1(22)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) 1(14)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PONCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AVES 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MARTINIQUE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT LUCIA 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT VINCENT 34 6 11(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BARBADOS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRENADA 34 3 9(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JUANGRIEGO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 122N 608W 34 12 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
12 122N 608W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 122N 608W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 129N 640W 34 X 20(20) 9(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
24 129N 640W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 129N 640W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 136N 674W 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31) 1(32)
36 136N 674W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 136N 674W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 143N 711W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 9(30) 1(31) X(31)
48 143N 711W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
48 143N 711W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 153N 780W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 10(27) 2(29)
72 153N 780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
72 153N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 160N 830W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24)
96 160N 830W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
96 160N 830W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 170N 880W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
120 170N 880W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 170N 880W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 65 75
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
NNNN
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