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Hurricane DEAN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007               
1500 UTC WED AUG 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS
...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LA PESCO MX    34 19   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
TAMPICO MX     34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
TAMPICO MX     50 45   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
TAMPICO MX     64  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TUXPAN MX      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TUXPAN MX      50 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TUXPAN MX      64 38   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34 49   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 212N  986W 34 92   2(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 212N  986W 50 67   3(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 12 212N  986W 64  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 24 213N 1016W 34  6   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 213N 1016W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 213N 1016W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     25       0       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:43 UTC