Hurricane DEAN

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007               
0300 UTC WED AUG 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  4   9(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TAMPICO MX     34 17  43(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
TAMPICO MX     50  2  14(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TUXPAN MX      34 44  43(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
TUXPAN MX      50  8  41(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
TUXPAN MX      64  1  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34 36   4(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
VERACRUZ MX    50  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
FRONTERA MX    34 77   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 207N  956W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 207N  956W 50 87   6(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 207N  956W 64 46  13(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 24 214N  990W 34  5  35(40)   3(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 24 214N  990W 50  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 214N  990W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 220N 1020W 34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 220N 1020W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 220N 1020W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     40      25       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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