Hurricane DEAN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0300 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 9(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TUXPAN MX 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 17(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X 4( 4) 39(43) 9(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) 15(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FRONTERA MX 34 3 47(50) 18(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
FRONTERA MX 50 X 16(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
FRONTERA MX 64 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MERIDA MX 34 18 37(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
MERIDA MX 50 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
COZUMEL MX 34 56 2(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
COZUMEL MX 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BELIZE 34 84 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
BELIZE 50 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BELIZE 64 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUANAJA 34 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 187N 886W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 187N 886W 50 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 187N 886W 64 65 15(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
24 192N 921W 34 4 72(76) 11(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 192N 921W 50 X 51(51) 13(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
24 192N 921W 64 X 26(26) 10(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
36 196N 956W 34 X 7( 7) 53(60) 9(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
36 196N 956W 50 X 1( 1) 29(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
36 196N 956W 64 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
48 196N 991W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
48 196N 991W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 196N 991W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 140 85 95 30 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS
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