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Tropical Depression THREE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032007               
0900 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  43(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   2( 2)  37(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 404N  625W 34 23   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 12 404N  625W 50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 404N  625W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 445N  570W 34  X  30(30)   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 24 445N  570W 50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 445N  570W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 492N  476W 34  X   X( X)  35(35)  10(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 492N  476W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 492N  476W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 550N  370W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)  15(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 550N  370W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 550N  370W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 590N  285W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  11(49)   2(51)
 72 590N  285W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)   1(19)
 72 590N  285W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 96 610N  210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  21(35)   6(41)
 96 610N  210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   3(15)
 96 610N  210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
 
120 630N  135W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  11(28)
120 630N  135W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
120 630N  135W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      45      50      50      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:41 UTC