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Tropical Depression BARRY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022007               
2100 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)  17(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   5( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   7( 7)  18(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X  17(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X  10(10)  10(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X  23(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  3  35(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 13  33(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 30  12(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
CHARLESTON SC  50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 330N  800W 34 29  13(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 12 330N  800W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 330N  800W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 355N  780W 34  X  29(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 24 355N  780W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 355N  780W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 390N  750W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   7(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 390N  750W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 390N  750W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 420N  720W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 420N  720W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 420N  720W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      40      40       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 GMT