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Tropical Depression BARRY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022007               
1500 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)  14(14)   8(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)  23(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   4( 4)  27(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X  11(11)  19(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X  17(17)   9(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X  17(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 31   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TAMPA FL       34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 305N  810W 34 22   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 12 305N  810W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 305N  810W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 335N  790W 34  X  20(20)   8(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 24 335N  790W 50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 335N  790W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 360N  765W 34  X   1( 1)  22(23)   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 36 360N  765W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 360N  765W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 395N  730W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 48 395N  730W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 395N  730W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      40      40       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 GMT