Tropical Storm BARRY
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007
0300 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
TAMPA FL 34 4 22(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 32(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 273N 840W 34 49 5(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
12 273N 840W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 273N 840W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 300N 825W 34 X 23(23) 4(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
24 300N 825W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 300N 825W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 330N 805W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 330N 805W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 330N 805W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 361N 765W 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
48 361N 765W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 361N 765W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 420N 700W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 420N 700W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 420N 700W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 30 30 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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