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Tropical Storm BARRY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022007               
2100 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   3( 3)  22(25)   3(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X  23(23)  14(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X  12(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  1  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X  27(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X  47(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X  12(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X  17(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 265N  845W 34 60   4(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 12 265N  845W 50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 265N  845W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 300N  830W 34  X  39(39)   5(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 24 300N  830W 50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 300N  830W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 330N  810W 34  X   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 330N  810W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 330N  810W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 350N  780W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 350N  780W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 350N  780W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 410N  705W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 410N  705W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 410N  705W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      30      30      30       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC