Subtropical Depression ANDREA

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012007               
0300 UTC FRI MAY 11 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JACKSONVILLE   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  4   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  3   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  5   3( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 290N  797W 34 16   3(19)   2(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 12 290N  797W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 290N  797W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 289N  794W 34 14   4(18)   3(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 289N  794W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 289N  794W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 292N  790W 34  8   5(13)   3(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 292N  790W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 292N  790W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 297N  783W 34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 297N  783W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 297N  783W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN