ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 1500 UTC THU MAY 10 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ORLANDO FL 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) FT PIERCE FL 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 296N 799W 34 16 3(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 296N 799W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 296N 799W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 293N 798W 34 11 6(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 24 293N 798W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 293N 798W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 292N 796W 34 10 5(15) 3(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 36 292N 796W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 292N 796W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 295N 793W 34 11 4(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 48 295N 793W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 295N 793W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC