Subtropical Storm ANDREA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
0900 UTC THU MAY 10 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 302N 801W 34 23 7(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
12 302N 801W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 302N 801W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 299N 802W 34 15 7(22) 2(24) 1(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
24 299N 802W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 299N 802W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 297N 802W 34 11 9(20) 2(22) 1(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25)
36 297N 802W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 297N 802W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 295N 801W 34 11 7(18) 3(21) 1(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24)
48 295N 801W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 295N 801W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 293N 799W 34 10 7(17) 2(19) 2(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
72 293N 799W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 293N 799W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 25 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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