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SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1500 UTC WED MAY 09 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) X(12)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12)
CHARLESTON SC 34 8 2(10) 2(12) 3(15) 2(17) 5(22) X(22)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 6(15) X(15)
SAVANNAH GA 34 13 5(18) 3(21) 2(23) 2(25) 7(32) X(32)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 19 11(30) 5(35) 2(37) 3(40) 6(46) X(46)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 14 13(27) 6(33) 1(34) 3(37) 8(45) X(45)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
ORLANDO FL 34 4 8(12) 6(18) 3(21) 4(25) 8(33) X(33)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 7(12) 6(18) 2(20) 4(24) 8(32) X(32)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
FT PIERCE FL 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 5(17) 6(23) X(23)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) 6(17) X(17)
MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12)
FT MYERS FL 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) 4(15) X(15)
VENICE FL 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) 4(16) X(16)
TAMPA FL 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 3(17) 6(23) X(23)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 6( 8) 5(13) 3(16) 2(18) 6(24) X(24)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) X(13)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 4(14) X(14)
APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) X(11)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 306N 799W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 306N 799W 50 7 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13)
12 306N 799W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 302N 806W 34 48 11(59) 3(62) X(62) 1(63) 4(67) X(67)
24 302N 806W 50 3 4( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) 3(13) X(13)
24 302N 806W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 298N 810W 34 27 15(42) 4(46) 1(47) 2(49) 6(55) X(55)
36 298N 810W 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 4(12) X(12)
36 298N 810W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
48 296N 810W 34 23 15(38) 5(43) 1(44) 2(46) 6(52) X(52)
48 296N 810W 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 3(11) X(11)
48 296N 810W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 295N 810W 34 21 14(35) 6(41) 1(42) 2(44) 7(51) X(51)
72 295N 810W 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 4(11) X(11)
72 295N 810W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 295N 810W 34 21 14(35) 6(41) 1(42) 2(44) 7(51) X(51)
96 295N 810W 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 4(11) X(11)
96 295N 810W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 30 25 25 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC