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Subtropical Storm ANDREA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012007               
1500 UTC WED MAY 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   5(12)   X(12)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  8   2(10)   2(12)   3(15)   2(17)   5(22)   X(22)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   6(15)   X(15)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34 13   5(18)   3(21)   2(23)   2(25)   7(32)   X(32)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 19  11(30)   5(35)   2(37)   3(40)   6(46)   X(46)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 14  13(27)   6(33)   1(34)   3(37)   8(45)   X(45)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  4   8(12)   6(18)   3(21)   4(25)   8(33)   X(33)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  5   7(12)   6(18)   2(20)   4(24)   8(32)   X(32)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   5(17)   6(23)   X(23)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   6(17)   X(17)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   4(15)   X(15)
 
VENICE FL      34  1   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   4(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 
TAMPA FL       34  1   4( 5)   6(11)   3(14)   3(17)   6(23)   X(23)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  2   6( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   2(18)   6(24)   X(24)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   4(13)   X(13)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   4(14)   X(14)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 306N  799W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 306N  799W 50  7   2( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 12 306N  799W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 302N  806W 34 48  11(59)   3(62)   X(62)   1(63)   4(67)   X(67)
 24 302N  806W 50  3   4( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   3(13)   X(13)
 24 302N  806W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 298N  810W 34 27  15(42)   4(46)   1(47)   2(49)   6(55)   X(55)
 36 298N  810W 50  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
 36 298N  810W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 296N  810W 34 23  15(38)   5(43)   1(44)   2(46)   6(52)   X(52)
 48 296N  810W 50  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 48 296N  810W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 295N  810W 34 21  14(35)   6(41)   1(42)   2(44)   7(51)   X(51)
 72 295N  810W 50  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
 72 295N  810W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 295N  810W 34 21  14(35)   6(41)   1(42)   2(44)   7(51)   X(51)
 96 295N  810W 50  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
 96 295N  810W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      35      30      25      25       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC