ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006 0300 UTC MON NOV 20 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 149N 1068W 34 16 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 149N 1068W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 149N 1068W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 150N 1077W 34 7 7(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 150N 1077W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 150N 1077W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 153N 1088W 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 36 153N 1088W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 153N 1088W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 156N 1100W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 156N 1100W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 156N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 20-Nov-2006 02:35:04 UTC