ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006 0300 UTC SUN NOV 19 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 161N 1058W 34 37 6(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 12 161N 1058W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 161N 1058W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 165N 1067W 34 8 15(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 24 165N 1067W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 165N 1067W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 168N 1078W 34 1 8( 9) 7(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) 36 168N 1078W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 168N 1078W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 171N 1091W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 48 171N 1091W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 171N 1091W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 175N 1116W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 175N 1116W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 175N 1116W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 19-Nov-2006 02:15:04 UTC