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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E


000
FOPZ15 KNHC 110805
PWSEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202006
0900 UTC SAT NOV 11 2006

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT

 12 133N 1135W 34 34   9(43)   1(44)   1(45)   1(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 12 133N 1135W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 133N 1135W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

 24 140N 1140W 34 11  20(31)   5(36)   2(38)   2(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 24 140N 1140W 50  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 140N 1140W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

 36 150N 1144W 34  1   9(10)  12(22)   4(26)   3(29)   1(30)   X(30)
 36 150N 1144W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 150N 1144W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)

 48 158N 1150W 34  X   4( 4)   8(12)   7(19)   4(23)   1(24)   1(25)
 48 158N 1150W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 158N 1150W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)


 72 157N 1163W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   6(16)   1(17)   1(18)
 72 157N 1163W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 157N 1163W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)


 96 155N 1170W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   6(12)   2(14)   X(14)
 96 155N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 96 155N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)


120 150N 1175W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
120 150N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
120 150N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)

               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      35      35      30      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)


$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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Page last modified: Monday, 13-Nov-2006 20:08:11 UTC