ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192006 1500 UTC THU NOV 09 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 164N 1057W 34 34 5(39) 1(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) 12 164N 1057W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 164N 1057W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 168N 1061W 34 13 11(24) 2(26) X(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) 24 168N 1061W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 168N 1061W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 172N 1065W 34 2 8(10) 5(15) 2(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) 36 172N 1065W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 172N 1065W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 176N 1070W 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 48 176N 1070W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 176N 1070W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 180N 1080W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) 72 180N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 180N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 180N 1085W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 96 180N 1085W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 180N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 09-Nov-2006 14:35:03 UTC