ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192006 0900 UTC WED NOV 08 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 136N 1054W 34 33 12(45) 2(47) 1(48) 1(49) 1(50) 2(52) 12 136N 1054W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 12 136N 1054W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 145N 1064W 34 4 30(34) 9(43) 2(45) 2(47) 1(48) 1(49) 24 145N 1064W 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) 24 145N 1064W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 150N 1073W 34 1 14(15) 19(34) 5(39) 3(42) 1(43) 2(45) 36 150N 1073W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 36 150N 1073W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 153N 1079W 34 X 8( 8) 18(26) 7(33) 4(37) 1(38) 2(40) 48 153N 1079W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) 48 153N 1079W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 155N 1085W 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) 9(26) 5(31) 2(33) 2(35) 72 155N 1085W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 72 155N 1085W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 150N 1090W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 6(25) 2(27) 2(29) 96 150N 1090W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 96 150N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 150N 1085W 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) 7(25) 4(29) 2(31) 2(33) 120 150N 1085W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 120 150N 1085W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 45 40 35 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 08-Nov-2006 08:40:03 UTC