Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192006
0900 UTC WED NOV 08 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 104.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 104.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 104.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.6N 105.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N 106.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.0N 107.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 15.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 15.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 104.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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