Hurricane PAUL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
0900 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 41(43) 13(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 36(38) 16(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PAZ 34 1 8( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CULICAN 34 X 5( 5) 15(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
MAZATLAN 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 33 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 200N 1110W 34 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 200N 1110W 50 54 9(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
12 200N 1110W 64 11 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
24 220N 1095W 34 3 67(70) 8(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 220N 1095W 50 X 25(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
24 220N 1095W 64 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 240N 1075W 34 X 6( 6) 35(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
36 240N 1075W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 240N 1075W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 260N 1040W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 260N 1040W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 260N 1040W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 60 50 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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