Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm PAUL


ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAUL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 25 2006
 
...PAUL ACCELERATING TOWARD MAINLAND MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO ALTATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES...105 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
TAKING THE CENTER OF PAUL INTO MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL PAUL MAKES
LANDFALL.  

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5
INCHES OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM TEACAPAN
TO MAZATLAN AND CULIACAN...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA MADRE
OCCIDENTAL. 
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...23.4 N...107.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
NNNN