Hurricane PAUL

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HURRICANE PAUL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 24 2006
 
...PAUL NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA
BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO ALTATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAUL WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES
...475 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 440
MILES...710 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  PAUL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.  

OUTER RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
AND MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. 

REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...111.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
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