Hurricane PAUL

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HURRICANE PAUL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 23 2006
 
...PAUL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAUL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES
...710 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100
MILES...155 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...16.7 N...111.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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